Member-only story
How Trump Will Change the Dollar as We Know It
The strengthening of the US dollar under President-elect Donald Trump’s anticipated policies represents a significant development in global economics, echoing historical patterns of dollar dominance that have shaped international finance for decades. The 1971 statement by Treasury Secretary John Connally that the dollar was “our currency, but your problem” remains remarkably relevant today, highlighting the enduring nature of American monetary influence on the global stage.
The strengthening dollar creates a complex web of economic consequences that ripple throughout the global economy. For emerging markets and developing economies, a stronger dollar often presents significant challenges. These nations frequently hold substantial dollar-denominated debt, and as the dollar appreciates, their debt servicing costs increase proportionally. This can strain national budgets, potentially forcing governments to divert resources from domestic development programs to debt payments.
Moreover, many commodities are priced in dollars on international markets. A stronger dollar typically leads to lower commodity prices in dollar terms, which can severely impact commodity-exporting nations. This dynamic can create particular hardships for countries whose economies rely heavily on natural resource exports, potentially leading to reduced government…