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Russia is Dying
Russia’s Demographic Dilemma: How a Shrinking Population Shapes Policy and Power
Russia, a nation once synonymous with vastness and power, now faces an unprecedented demographic crisis that threatens its future stability and influence. Since the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991, the country has experienced a steady population decline, a trend that shows no sign of reversing. As of 2021, Russia’s population stood at 146.1 million, down from 148.2 million in 1991, and projections suggest it could drop to between 130 and 140 million by 2050. This decline is influenced by a multitude of factors, including war, disease, and emigration, raising significant concerns about the nation’s future political and economic clout.
The War in Ukraine: A Catalyst for Decline
The ongoing conflict in Ukraine has significantly exacerbated Russia’s demographic woes. Casualties from the war, increased mortality rates, and a mass exodus of refugees and migrants have collectively led to the loss of approximately 2 million people over the past three years. This conflict not only strains the nation’s human resources but also casts a long shadow over its demographic future. The war has disrupted communities, displaced families, and created an environment of uncertainty that discourages population growth. The psychological impact of the conflict, combined with physical losses, further…
