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Why the South China Sea is a strategic powder keg
This article was originally published on Essydo.com.
The South China Sea stands as a critical nexus of global trade, natural resources and geopolitical tension. This vital maritime corridor facilitates over 3$ trillion in annual trade while harbouring vast untapped reserves of oil and natural gas. Estimates from the University of Leipzig suggest up to 11 billion barrels of oil and 190 trillion cubic feet of natural gas lie beneath its waters. Additionally, the region’s rich fisheries play a crucial role in ensuring food security and economic stability for surrounding nations. This article delves into the complex web of issues surrounding this strategically vital region, examining the historical context of colonial influence, the current tensions between major powers like the People’s Republic of China (hereinafter: China) and the United States of America (hereinafter: the USA), and the potential trajectories for the future. It explores the structural factors shaping state behaviour, the role of international norms and rules, and the challenges posed by competing territorial claims. The article will also address the environmental concerns facing the region, the influence of domestic politics and nationalism, and the potential for multilateral cooperation. By analysing these interconnected aspects, it aims to provide a comprehensive understanding of the South…